Great Business. Great Times

Business Cycle Council C D Howe Institute Canada Economy News Canadian Authorities Policy

We develop a recession forecasting framework using a less restrictive goal variable and extra versatile and inclusive specification than these used in the literature. The goal variable captures the prevalence of a recession within a given future interval somewhat than at a specific future point in time . The model generates considerably extra correct forecasts for U.S. recessions with smaller forecast errors and stronger early indicators for the turning factors of business cycles than these generated by existing models. Accurately forecasting the economic outlook is crucial for practitioners to make timely investment choices and for policymakers to implement preemptive insurance policies. This examine proposes a unified framework that improves the efficiency of recession modeling and forecasting.

The Great Depression of the Thirties was preceded by a modest stock market crash, of which nobody might have anticipated the consequences. The Great Recession that adopted the 2008 crisis followed a serious monetary shock however was shortly contained by the concerted motion of the main central banks; this shock alone can not explain the depth and duration of the Great Recession, even within the United States. More typically, we wouldn’t have direct proof of enormous shocks alongside the business cycle that alone may explain its amplitude. If manufacturing and employment vary so much over the business cycle, it should be that the financial system accommodates the seeds of its own instability, by amplifying the impact of small disturbances. Such amplification mechanisms are difficult to identify empirically as a outcome of they often involve several mechanisms simultaneously set in motion and generate co-movements of all macroeconomic variables. Understanding such intricacies is usually inconceivable and not utilizing a totally specified general-equilibrium mannequin, which explains why business-cycle evaluation provides a prevalence to macroeconomic principle over a extra inductive, empirical approach.

The Council performs an identical perform to the National Bureau of Economic Research Business Cycle Dating Committee within the United States. The Council is comprised of Canada’s preeminent economists lively in the subject. Members of the Council participate in their personal capacities, and the views collectively expressed don’t characterize those of any establishment or client.

Business Cycle

Manufacturing, aviation, trade, hospitality, transportation, and a lot of different industrial sectors slowed down. These industries directly or indirectly needed crude oil, the demand for the commodity dropped. U.S. pig-iron manufacturing increased by greater than a hundred and fifty percent during the enlargement, which lasted till 1907; constructing permits greater than doubled; and freight traffic rose by greater than 50 %. Prices rose increasingly quickly as the us financial system approached full employment. 12To summarize, partial-equilibrium intuitions or empirical proof are uninformative about the probably effects of combination shocks, since we should anticipate those shocks to be amplified or buffered or each without delay. The second method is to specify a whole general-equilibrium mannequin, by which the deflationary spiral mechanism is present, and then to estimate it empirically (see, for instance, Christiano et al., 2015, Gust et al., 2017).

To the shock of some, the Republican Congress largely helps Trump’s restrictionist …

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Business Made Simple : Donald Miller : 9781400203819

The They Ask, You Answer certification focuses more particularly on sales, digital advertising, and inside dynamics. As a coach, this will assist you to guide your shoppers to improve their messaging and communication, both internally and externally. Often, entrepreneurs are caught being implementation specialists, delivering content and stories, after which looking for client approval. They Ask, You Answer coaching provides a different mannequin. A certified coach will information purchasers to take management of their very own inbound marketing in order that they expertise the exceptional results they count on. Business Made Simple is a framework overlaying issues like messaging, productiveness, management, and business administration.

Creating an e mail marketing campaign provides you a chance to spend quality time along with your audience. It may not lead to a sale immediately but slowly, over a period of weeks, months and even years, your prospects turn into accustomed to hearing from you, receiving free worth and begin to belief you. Of course, trust is a foundation to dedication. They make sure the revenue margins on the merchandise are high enough to cover the overheads. They achieve this so that they’ll say sure to stuff that matters.

If you are trying to profitably develop your business or career, you need elite business knowledge—knowledge that creates tangible worth. Even when you had the time, entry, or cash to attend a Top 20 business college, you would nonetheless be lacking the sensible data that propels the most effective and brightest forward. I read Building a Story Brand after which “Marketing Made Simple.” I love how they take extremely complex ideas and clarify them in simple executable steps. Donald Miller is conscious of that business is extra than just a good idea made profitable – it’s a system of unspoken rules, not often taught by MBA schools.

Business Made Simple

Normally, in these weblog posts with my classes and takeaways, I share a couple of of the key factors and principles. But this e-book is designed as a “daily reading” book for sixty days, and my synopsis is a long record of what he emphasized for attain of these days. I encourage you to purchase the e-book, and browse by way of it slowly. Finally keep in thoughts that the largest problems salespeople have are largely psychological. These issues stem from the concern of rejection and they also unintentionally make the dialog awkward or even keep away from one within the first place.

This is why, all through our site and communications, you will find everything written in plain, simple to grasp, English. That’s one of the explanation why we’re the online firm formation agent of alternative for first time formers and serial entrepreneurs alike when it comes to registering a company in the UK. Download the eBook right now and discover out the key data you have to know to start, run and develop your corporation.

As a result, they experience extra success in work and life. He goes on to say, “this is the key to success. …

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Trulaske Business Insider Series Trulaske Faculty Of Business College Of Missouri

According to the World Association of Newspapers and News Publishers, Business Insider gave SAP “limited editorial management” over the content material of its “Future of Business” section as of 2013. The web site publishes a mix of original reporting and aggregation of other shops’ content. Insider publishes original reporting and aggregates material from different retailers. As of 2011, it maintained a liberal policy on the utilization of nameless sources. It has also revealed native advertising and granted sponsors editorial management of its content material. The outlet has been nominated for several awards, but is criticized for utilizing factually incorrect clickbait headlines to attract viewership.

This contains editions in Australia, India, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, China, and the UK. Fastly’s globally distributed network allows them to serve content from the sting, dashing up the experience for both mobile and desktop. As app usage continues to grow, will most likely be a major contributor to sales growth, especially with Millennials and Gen Zers holding massive spending energy. These tech-savvy customers have the flexibility to boost quantity, as they’re extra likely to do a wider share of purchasing on their smartphones. Bot building companies are sometimes third-party corporations that employ AI know-how to assist companies deploy their own chatbot across a platform. Finally, native bots are built by the platform or app in which they’re working (for instance, Apple’s Siri or Google Assistant).

Business Insider

With messaging apps on the rise, chatbots are rising in recognition amongst businesses and customers alike. Chatbots are synthetic intelligence methods that enable customer engagement by way of messaging, text, or speech. According to comScore, mobile usage accounts for 60% of digital media consumption. Given the ever-increasing popularity of cell, it’s important that Business Insider provides a quality experience for readers accessing its web site on cell units.

The ease and accessibility to construct a customizable bot alongside the increased utilization of messaging apps only proves the growth and strength that may push the chatbot trade forward. As the trade matures, the underlying AI technology continues to develop and grow more refined. Business Insider serves personalized content to individual users, guaranteeing their editors, logged-in readers, and visitors every have a unique expertise on BusinessInsider.com. They do this by writing and immediately deploying Custom Varnish Configuration Language to connect completely different headers for each sort of consumer. This permits editors to see the content uncached, and provides them the ability to publish and update content instantly, whereas readers see the latest content in real time. Article comments are cached separately from the article itself — utilizing Fastly’s surrogate keys, Business Insider can show the most recent comments without having to purge the complete page.

Because of this demand, chatbots are growing in reputation amongst businesses and customers alike. The app provides you a news notice, allows you to read it for about two seconds, then tells you the article is unavailable. The app developers additionally do not know the way to manage image caching, and my phone fills up with gigabytes of …

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Risk management with ETFs: Advanced techniques for experienced traders in the UK

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Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have become a popular instrument for traders seeking exposure to diverse assets. However, like any investment, they come with their own set of risks. Experienced traders in the UK understand the importance of implementing advanced risk management techniques when trading ETFs. This article will explore essential strategies for effectively managing risk in ETF trading. To start trading ETFs, visit Saxo Markets.

Leveraging hedging strategies

Hedging is a risk management technique that involves offsetting potential losses in one position by taking an opposite position in a correlated asset. For ETF traders, this can be particularly valuable in volatile market conditions. For example, if a trader holds an ETF that tracks a specific sector and anticipates potential downside, they may simultaneously short an ETF that inversely correlates with that sector.

Options contracts can also be used as hedging tools for ETFs. Put options, for instance, provide the right to sell an ETF at a predetermined price, offering protection against potential losses. By strategically employing hedging techniques, experienced traders in the UK can mitigate risk and safeguard their capital in the unpredictable world of ETF trading.

Dynamic position sizing

Position sizing is a critical element of risk management, and experienced traders understand that a one-size-fits-all approach may not be suitable for every trade. Dynamic position sizing involves adjusting the size of a position based on factors such as market volatility, trade confidence, and risk tolerance.

For example, a trader may reduce their position size to limit potential losses in times of heightened market volatility. When market conditions are more stable, they may increase position sizes to capitalise on potential gains. By tailoring position sizes to specific market conditions and trade setups, experienced traders in the UK can optimise their risk-reward profile and protect their capital.

Setting stop-loss orders

Stop-loss orders are a fundamental risk management tool for ETF traders. They allow traders to define a specific price level at which their position will be automatically sold, limiting potential losses. Experienced traders understand the importance of placing stop-loss orders at strategic levels, considering support and resistance levels and technical indicators.

Experienced traders may use trailing stop-loss orders, which adjust dynamically as the price of the ETF moves in their favour. This allows them to lock in profits while giving the position room to grow. By effectively implementing stop-loss orders, experienced traders in the UK can protect their capital and minimise the impact of adverse market movements.

Diversification and correlation analysis

Diversification is a foundational principle of risk management. Experienced ETF traders in the UK recognize the importance of spreading their investments across different asset classes, sectors, or regions. This helps reduce the impact of a single asset’s poor performance on the overall portfolio.

Understanding the correlation between different ETFs is crucial. Correlation measures the degree to which two assets move about each other. By selecting low or negative correlations ETFs, traders can further diversify their portfolios and reduce overall risk. A well-balanced and diversified ETF portfolio can help mitigate potential …

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Tips On How To Start A Property Management Company

They have also worked as a writer and editor for numerous companies, and have printed cultural research work in an educational journal. For-sale prices, on the opposite hand, fluctuate dramatically depending upon the well being of local- and nation-wide housing markets. During the recession, for-sale asking costs noticed a drop of virtually $50,000. According to knowledge collected by the United States Census Bureau, lease costs have been steadily increasing because the Nineteen Nineties without any vital fluctuations. Even during the recession on the end of 2007, rental asking costs continued to increase steadily. His main areas of writing include surrealism, Buddhist iconography and environmental points.

With all key users in one web page, your property business runs easily as attainable. Although many states require a real estate license or other certification, most don’t require an advanced diploma. A real estate license or sensible experience in the real estate business is useful, however not always required. However, having an actual estate or property management certification can still be useful when you intend to begin working for an established property management firm. Finally, even skilled real property brokers and property managers may need particular training to ship the very best service in a specific property management field.

This features a Certified Public Accountant, actual property attorneys, and varied maintenance contractors similar to plumbers, electricians, and the like. As a primary step, you might want to see if any programs can be found that focus on the local area or area of interest the place you’re planning to do business. Training from experts in your target market is extra likely to embody tailored recommendation that you can put into follow your self. If you’ve the time and the chance, a nice way to study the ropes and get up to hurry as a property management agent is to work as an admin assistant for a lettings agency. They often recruit for temps for short-term cover, so it’s worth asking around regionally. Property managers can also be in management of managing the property price range and other necessary information.

Alternatively, you’ll be able to go browsing and fill it out for your self. Sometimes you will want to cope with tough situations throughout negotiations, communication with the tenants. Also normally you will manage a large portfolio that requires nice time management ability… This degree offers expertise to administer property investments, property funds and development within the property trade.

Business Property Management

That stated, the value of property management is extra of an funding than an expense. A good management company is taking up the price of advertising for tenants, showing units, and screening potential renters. It may be the most dear factor property management firms provide. Contrary to well-liked belief, an LLC isn’t an integrated business. The property management company’s owners have restricted financial and legal liability. Here’s a few suggestions for property managers trying to brand a model new business enterprise.

If you’re able to leap, we’re here to share everything you want to learn about …

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World Information, Politics, Economics, Business & Finance

LSBF gives you the opportunity to review globally recognised levels and professional skills from any location. London School of Business & Finance offers industry-focused programmes designed to mirror world market developments. LSBF attracts the most gifted and impressive candidates from around the globe and works along with its corporate companions to develop programmes structured with an up-to-date and worldwide perspective in thoughts. If you desire a broader vary of industries from which to choose, or should you benefit from the advertising or communication side of business, a business degree could presumably be the right alternative. A bachelor’s in a business-related specialty can prepare you for a leadership position in fields similar to marketing, IT, economics, and more. Business and finance levels both require the practical application of math expertise.

Seminars and workshops allow you to discuss and develop your understanding of topics lined in lectures in smaller groups. For detailed information on the educational and English language necessities, please find your country in our directory. Our analysis supplies progressive options that benefit business, trade and communities in the UK and internationally and has gained a sequence of awards. Private apply accountants help individuals and companies handle their money effectively.

Business and Finance

If you require a pupil visa, you cannot study part-time at undergraduate level. If you’re a UK scholar or have settled/pre-settled standing and also you need to study part-time you then apply to the college directly. Choose from a variety of programs, from business entrepreneurship to international business. You’ll benefit from our excellent links with over 200 companies, as nicely as our mentoring and networking schemes.

If you wouldn’t have IELTS 6.zero, we offer a Pre-Sessional English Programme previous to commencing your research. You’ll discover what it means to be a true international citizen and emerge ready for wherever your career journey will take you. Browse our undergraduate prospectus or examine our associated courses under. Gain a Certificate in Professional Practice and valuable employment expertise before graduating.

Explore our analysis experience and collaborate on progressive options. Public finance accountants make sure cash is spent properly in public sector organisations. Management accountants take care of an organization’s funds and discover methods to enhance profitability.

Haven’t met the entry necessities or don’t have the best qualifications? You should still be ready to progress onto a level you’d love by finding out a foundation or entry course. This module aims to introduce you to e-commerce ideas by giving an integrative perspective of back and front finish online commerce. The purpose of the module is to give you an introduction to business organisation.

At Heriot-Watt, you’ll learn to apply business management and finance data and abilities to a spread of different managerial, business and problem-solving situations, management selections, compliance issues and governance. This degree is being restructured in collaboration with employers, professional bodies and pupil suggestions. This ensures we develop levels which are aligned with newest business developments. (This is standard UK follow across institutions.) The module structure and content for Year 1 might be …

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Actual Time Analysis Of The U S Business Cycle Federal Reserve Financial Institution Of Atlanta

The so-called Juglar cycle has typically been considered the true, or major, economic cycle, however several smaller cycles have additionally been identified. According to this concept, the smaller cycles typically coincide with changes in business inventories, lasting a median of forty months. Other small cycles outcome from adjustments within the demand for and provide of specific agricultural products corresponding to hogs, cotton, and beef.

Business Cycle

This theory explains the character and causes of economic cycles from the perspective of life-cycle of marketable goods. The concept originates from the work of Raymond Vernon, who described the development of international trade in terms of product life-cycle – a time frame throughout which the product circulates in the market. Vernon said that some nations specialize within the production and export of technologically new merchandise, while others specialize in the manufacturing of already identified merchandise. The most developed nations are in a place to make investments giant quantities of cash in the technological improvements and produce new merchandise, thus acquiring a dynamic comparative advantage over developing nations. The first systematic exposition of financial crises, in opposition to the present theory of economic equilibrium, was the 1819 Nouveaux Principes d’économie politique by Jean Charles Léonard de Sismondi.

These include real private earnings less transfers, nonfarm payroll employment, employment as measured by the family survey, real private consumption expenditures, wholesale-retail gross sales adjusted for worth changes, and industrial manufacturing. There isn’t any fastened rule about what measures contribute information to the process or how they’re weighted in our selections. In current a long time, the 2 measures we have put essentially the most weight on are real personal revenue much less transfers and nonfarm payroll employment. A positively sloped yield curve is commonly a harbinger of inflationary progress. Work by Arturo Estrella and Tobias Adrian has established the predictive energy of an inverted yield curve to sign a recession.

Most economists believe that enhancements in monetary policy, particularly the tip of overexpansion adopted by deliberate contraction, have been a significant factor as well. Economists use the term business cycle to explain the ups and downs, or fluctuations, in an financial system. More specifically, the term refers back to the fluctuating levels of financial exercise over a time period measured from the start of one recession to the start of the following.

The individual episodes of expansion/recession occur with changing duration and depth over time. During this stage, there are clear optimistic economic indicators, together with growth in earnings, employment, demand, supply and revenue. Throughout an enlargement, the frequency of investments from private and public entities increases, and each businesses and individuals usually repay their money owed on time. Recessions within the early postwar era had been of roughly the identical common severity as those earlier than World War I, though they were considerably much less frequent than within the ancient times and were extra constantly of moderate dimension. The reducing frequency of downturns displays progress in financial policymaking.

In contrast, the non-oil sectors like food manufacturing, telecom, …

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Godaddy Security Access Denied

Graduates with a finance diploma may go on to pursue a complicated diploma, such as a master’s in business administration with a focus on finance, or a master’s in finance. It’s also frequent for people coming into the field of finance to proceed their education and earn extra certifications. Other opportunities embody commercial banking, monetary planning, funding banking, money administration, insurance coverage, and real property. Leading individuals and groups to success is arguably the most important talent a manager can possess. This module focuses on the essential management and leadership expertise required to fulfil this role within the business and finance context.

We’ll also put together you for work beforehand, with special abilities for work coaching, further boosting your CV, and building abilities employers will worth. In recognition of the worth we place on these abilities we have included this expertise into your study time. Being so near London gives us some wonderful business hyperlinks, providing you with the prospect to realize expertise in the real world. Our give attention to real life expertise provides you that competitive edge when heading into employment.

Business and Finance

You will learn key ratios and need-to-know finance terminology by way of real-life case studies. You may even gain a wide range of expertise that can assist you to deal with any challenges you might face in the finance business. View our full vary of 100% online grasp and MBA levels in advertising, finance, and business administration.

International Audit Week is an annual event, devoted to serving to college students develop their auditing expertise, with a view to profitable careers in the audit and accounting sectors. As an progressive and enterprising institution, the college may seek to utilise emerging applied sciences inside the scholar expertise. For all programs (whether on-campus, blended, or distance learning), the college might ship certain contact hours and assessments by way of online applied sciences and methods. Access to considered one of largest academic buying and selling flooring in Europe, which incorporates analytical, information and information platforms to give you first-hand experience of these industry-standard tools.

For the anticipated level of sales, the financial supervisor estimates the funds that shall be out there from the company’s operations and compares this amount with what shall be needed to pay for the model new mounted assets (machinery, gear, and so forth.). If the expansion rate exceeds 10 % a 12 months, asset necessities are likely to exceed internal sources of funds, so plans should be made to finance them by issuing securities. If, on the opposite hand, growth is gradual, extra funds shall be generated than are required to help the estimated progress in sales. Business finance, the elevating and managing of funds by business organizations.

There is a spread of financial help options obtainable to support your studies, including the award for study assets that many full-time students will obtain. Research in International Business and Finance seeks to consolidate its position as a premier scholarly automobile of educational finance. The Journal publishes prime quality, …

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Business Made Simple By Donald Miller Here Are My Five Classes And Takeaways First Friday Guide Synopsis

If you implement even one tactic on this guide, you’ll see the change in your prospects’ demeanor. And you’ll know the $100M Offers method worked when you start listening to, “What do I must do to maneuver forward? There’s a message getting a lot of airtime nowadays. It says to achieve success, you need to step into the spotlight, climb the ladder, become the boss, or chase whatever version of success that’s been dangled in front of you.

If you are trying to develop your business or profession profitably, you want elite business data to create tangible value. Learn what probably the most profitable business leaders have recognized for years via the simple however efficient secrets shared in these pages. Business Made Simpleis the must-have information for anybody who feels misplaced or overwhelmed by the fashionable business local weather, even when they attended business faculty.

Although this feature is extra economical and sensible, not all offers are value it. With the internet and technology at present, everyone can play the role of an expert and set up a course, seminar or workshop. There are a number of methods you possibly can develop your skills. The first is by going again to highschool to get a bachelor’s or master’s diploma.

Business Made Simple

The physique of the aircraft is the place you set individuals and cargo. The whole level of this area is to get individuals the place they need to go. This can be why a business exists – to resolve an issue for purchasers.

That means they simply obtained $4,000 over the price they’d have sold it for. A basic rule about negotiation is that if one party is ‘competitive’ and the opposite is ‘collaborative’, the competitive side will nearly all the time win. Great negotiators perceive the two modes of negotiation.

It is as a outcome of the mission assertion builds the company’s tradition and values. It offers the employees path, function, and motivation. It also makes them realize the significance of their role in fulfilling the company’s mission.

I have since left ministry, and left that denomination . But I even have at all times had an admiration for that central premise. This sounds obvious but half the managers Donald has talked to do not know what their department is on and what they’re supposed to produce. Even once they sounded certain, Donald got completely different answers after talking to particular person members of their group. Always know the negotiation mode the other individual is in and modify yours accordingly.

Even when doing black belt training with my karate teacher , he ensures that we apply probably the most primary katas and techniques that we discovered years ago when we have been white belt newbies. Ignorance of business fundamentals or forgetting or overlooking the fundamentals is one of the key reasons for business failure. If nothing else reading this book will remind you or affirm to you that you’re on prime of these basic components. We all love enjoying games …

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The Uk’s Nationwide B2b Media Company

And as a end result of chatbots can simulate human agents through AI and natural language processing, each interplay and additional piece of customer knowledge collected improves their ability to understand a user’s intent. And firms should take observe that the extra successful chatbots are those which would possibly be in a place to drive a great conversational expertise that mimics human agents. Fastly’s real-time analytics enable Business Insider to observe events as they’re taking place, enabling them to determine needed adjustments and make and push their own configurations as needed. In addition to real-time and historic stats, Fastly’s Dashboard offers Business Insider perception into proportion of requests per second, hit ratio, errors, and a global site visitors profile.

Business Insider

With messaging apps on the rise, chatbots are growing in reputation among businesses and customers alike. Chatbots are artificial intelligence techniques that allow customer engagement via messaging, textual content, or speech. According to comScore, cellular utilization accounts for 60% of digital media consumption. Given the ever-increasing reputation of cell, it’s essential that Business Insider offers a top quality expertise for readers accessing its website on mobile units.

The key gamers throughout the chatbot business, similar to Facebook, Google, and Microsoft have been investing within the development of chatbot technologies for years and continue to work on major bot initiatives. The chatbot ecosystem is rapidly expanding despite the comparatively robust ecosystem that presently exists. The ecosystem of the underlying technology and platforms for chatbots embrace deployment channels, third-party chatbots, firms that present the technology for building chatbots, and native bots. In 2019 Microsoft launched a service that allowed totally different firms to develop their very own chatbots. Giving corporations the instruments needed to alleviate administrative tasks by way of chatbots earned Microsoft a prime spot within the healthcare market.

S parent firm Insider Inc. has been owned by the German publishing house Axel Springer. It operates a quantity of worldwide editions, together with one within the United Kingdom. Get the newest tech news & scoops — delivered day by day to your inbox. Our weekday publication, full of authentic evaluation, information, and tendencies — delivered proper to your inbox.

Business Insider is Germany’s most trendy news web page on topics such as business, careers, tech, digital tradition and science. The availability of the information set was first reported by Business Insider. According to that publication, it has info from 106 countries including telephone numbers, Facebook IDs, full names, areas, birthdates, and e-mail addresses.

Dominick Cruz suffered a damaged nostril in his knockout loss Saturday to Chito Vera on the UFC event in San Diego. “Are we actually ready to accept the uncertainties and the depths of this sort of strategic competition?” one expert Insider spoke with asked. Get the inside scoop on what merchants are speaking about — delivered daily to your inbox. Get a daily number of our high stories primarily based in your reading preferences.…

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